0x29a87830f59f800536e7a9bd15d548bd70704b23
- Realised P&L
- $171.18
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $66.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.530 | 0.525 | $38.47 | −$0.37 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.028 | $7.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? · No | 0.688 | 0.685 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.007 | $3.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.951 | $2.60 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $1.83 | −$0.17 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.945 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Dallas Stars advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? · No | 0.610 | 0.590 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.470 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$32.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.88at 0.377LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
- +$40.72at 0.668Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$-22.79at 0.465AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:25 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:24 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:22 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:21 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:11 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:54 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:49 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:44 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:35 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:33 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |