PolyBot

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Traders

0x29a82d2804e87f0a9e5d0b8f3f78ea2fe10405d2

0x29a82d2804e87f0a9e5d0b8f3f78ea2fe10405d2

Realised P&L
$-47.65
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$137.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.7800.795$11.88+$0.22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7200.775$11.75+$0.83
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.7500.745$11.67−$0.08
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? · Yes0.8100.810$11.04+$0.00
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.7400.735$10.97−$0.08
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli · Flavio Cobolli0.6500.635$10.95−$0.26
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7220.738$10.59+$0.23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7000.705$10.57+$0.07
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.7300.705$10.55−$0.37
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? · No0.6300.585$10.27−$0.79
UConn vs. Temple · Temple0.6200.620$8.38+$0.00
Raiders vs. Patriots · Patriots0.6300.625$8.31−$0.07
Arizona vs. West Virginia · Arizona0.6100.600$8.26−$0.14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4300.135$2.70−$5.91
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$8.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 21:27Raiders vs. PatriotsBUY0.63$8.38
10-08 20:30UConn vs. TempleBUY0.62$8.38
10-08 19:44Arizona vs. West VirginiaBUY0.61$8.39
10-08 19:16Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio CobolliBUY0.65$11.21
10-08 19:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.141$2.83
10-07 11:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.8244788164$12.26
10-06 09:25Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?SELL0.961$15.35
10-04 21:22US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.71$15.55
10-04 17:43Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.72$11.69
10-04 17:08Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.7$9.54
10-03 15:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.76$12.27
10-03 13:14Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.86$12.08
10-02 16:47Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.6114873294$12.55
10-02 16:27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.439$11.51
10-01 23:25Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?SELL0.69$3.45