0x29a82d2804e87f0a9e5d0b8f3f78ea2fe10405d2
0x29a82d2804e87f0a9e5d0b8f3f78ea2fe10405d2
- Realised P&L
- $-47.65
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $137.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.746Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
- +$4.65at 0.637Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- +$1.83at 0.754US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
- +$1.36at 0.744Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$0.93at 0.784Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:27 | Raiders vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.63 | $8.38 |
| 10-08 20:30 | UConn vs. Temple | BUY | 0.62 | $8.38 |
| 10-08 19:44 | Arizona vs. West Virginia | BUY | 0.61 | $8.39 |
| 10-08 19:16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BUY | 0.65 | $11.21 |
| 10-08 19:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.141 | $2.83 |
| 10-07 11:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.8244788164 | $12.26 |
| 10-06 09:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.961 | $15.35 |
| 10-04 21:22 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $15.55 |
| 10-04 17:43 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.72 | $11.69 |
| 10-04 17:08 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.7 | $9.54 |
| 10-03 15:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $12.27 |
| 10-03 13:14 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $12.08 |
| 10-02 16:47 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.6114873294 | $12.55 |
| 10-02 16:27 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.439 | $11.51 |
| 10-01 23:25 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |