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Traders

AkVitalik

0x298de4fc45da560633898d44c9250e152ed9fb9e

Realised P&L
$7.3k
Volume
$165.2k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$489.85

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · No0.5840.585$200.48+$0.48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.2400.305$127.08+$27.08
Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.6750.989$73.17+$23.17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes0.6770.165$48.70−$151.30
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.7980.121$15.23−$84.77
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3400.045$13.24−$86.76
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1760.021$11.95−$88.05
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.2410.000$0.00−$100.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7220.000$0.00−$200.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$100.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3680.000$0.00−$100.00
Israel closes its airspace by July 24? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 01:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.1455359032$63.28
10-30 00:07US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2299968328$100.00
10-28 10:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2399999998$100.00
10-28 05:10Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.677599921$200.00
10-28 05:10Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.328873421$51.03
10-28 05:08Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.5$71.42
10-28 05:08Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.3394256741$259.57
10-27 20:15Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.6754627771$50.00
10-26 18:07Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?BUY0.5392450553$100.00
10-26 14:19Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.12$75.00
10-21 18:13Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.6444880623$100.00
10-19 17:46US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.5836071662$200.00
10-19 17:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.6794346733$200.00
10-16 18:58Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6999999993$100.00
10-12 14:06Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.16$100.00
Trader AkVitalik · PolyBot Pro