AkVitalik
0x298de4fc45da560633898d44c9250e152ed9fb9e
- Realised P&L
- $7.3k
- Volume
- $165.2k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $489.85
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.456US military action against Iran before July?
- +$986.36at 0.548Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$814.05at 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$666.08at 0.429Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$660.51at 0.574US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 01:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.1455359032 | $63.28 |
| 10-30 00:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2299968328 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 10:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2399999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 05:10 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.677599921 | $200.00 |
| 10-28 05:10 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.328873421 | $51.03 |
| 10-28 05:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5 | $71.42 |
| 10-28 05:08 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.3394256741 | $259.57 |
| 10-27 20:15 | Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6754627771 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 18:07 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.5392450553 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 14:19 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.12 | $75.00 |
| 10-21 18:13 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.6444880623 | $100.00 |
| 10-19 17:46 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.5836071662 | $200.00 |
| 10-19 17:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.6794346733 | $200.00 |
| 10-16 18:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 14:06 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |