PolyBot

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Traders

0x2989c4b5e43cf26ae76cb7bfee53b00da872dec2

0x2989c4b5e43cf26ae76cb7bfee53b00da872dec2

Realised P&L
$17.92
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$2.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4740.381$1.61−$0.39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3200.032$0.49−$4.51
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down0.6320.000$0.00−$13.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Down0.9100.000$0.00−$2.02
Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$10.00
Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$10.00
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs · Marsborne0.2930.000$0.00−$1.19
Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$10.00
Colts vs. Chiefs · Colts0.2900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
49ers vs. Rams · Rams0.1200.000$0.00−$1.10
Chicago Cubs winning after 5 innings? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$1.21
Philadelphia Phillies winning after 5 innings? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$3.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:10Jake Ferguson: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-26 22:39Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7289999948$90.00
10-26 22:36Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2482917525$212.61
10-26 22:21Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6809999984$100.00
10-24 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSELL0.59$2.70
10-24 20:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.5299999607$2.70
10-24 05:41Christian Watson: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.4299999889$4.26
10-23 19:59NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$1.72
10-23 19:44NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5099999776$2.50
10-23 19:06NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?SELL0.24$1.15
10-23 19:03NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?BUY0.25$1.20
10-22 09:51India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs IndiaBUY0.74$600.25
10-16 22:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSELL0.92$4.34
10-16 22:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.8399999763$4.25
10-16 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.63$3.00