Zqwsddd
0x298102f871f2bf17693c8c180076e579d5c7983b
- Realised P&L
- $-36.68
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.986 | $1.42 | +$0.24 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No | 0.780 | 0.085 | $0.13 | −$1.09 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
| Will Cagliari win on 2025-09-13? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.47at 0.690Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?
- +$1.48at 0.670Lions vs. 49ers
- +$0.98at 0.7205kt meteor strike in 2025?
- +$0.95at 0.840Will Trump designate cartels as terrorists before March?
- +$0.94at 0.680Will Mike Lindell announce run for Minnesota Governor by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 07:37 | Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.991 | $201.39 |
| 07-07 07:37 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $200.20 |
| 07-07 07:37 | Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 07:26 | Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.992 | $200.00 |
| 06-27 07:26 | Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.991 | $198.20 |
| 06-27 07:26 | Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.992 | $200.00 |
| 06-27 07:25 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $200.00 |
| 06-27 07:25 | Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 06:12 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $300.59 |
| 05-07 06:12 | Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $299.70 |
| 05-07 06:12 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $230.23 |
| 05-06 08:28 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $230.00 |
| 05-06 08:27 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $229.31 |
| 05-06 08:27 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $230.00 |
| 05-06 08:26 | Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.994 | $300.00 |