tantanE
0x292c854e0d0f375daee9a52e01792ff6fc7143bf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $115.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,231
- Open portfolio
- $14.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,231
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.14at 0.022Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$64.53at 0.032Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 25?
- +$62.52at 0.031US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$55.05at 0.037Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
- +$49.15at 0.042Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 00:25 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 00:00 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0579999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 00:00 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 00:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 15:14 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:43 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 00:01 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.064 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 19:01 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:10 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.5 and 41.0 million views on day 5? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 00:38 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 23:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1365853579 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.136999992 | $2.00 |