Brilliance-Subdued
0x2925642ea68013a2c01c14fd82153514ceb2d61d
- Realised P&L
- $10.52
- Volume
- $62.5k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.31at 0.777Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- +$154.85at 0.760Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
- +$104.86at 0.863Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$99.66at 0.780Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$71.43at 0.247Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 00:01 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.121 | $6.52 |
| 08-21 22:08 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.127 | $31.79 |
| 08-21 22:07 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.182 | $32.76 |
| 08-21 21:37 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $109.38 |
| 08-10 21:21 | Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | BUY | 0.13 | $8.92 |
| 08-10 21:20 | Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 08-10 21:19 | Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.1598333333 | $191.80 |
| 08-07 23:24 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.151 | $1.51 |
| 08-05 22:03 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $292.56 |
| 08-05 21:50 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.148 | $199.95 |
| 08-05 21:48 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.09 | $120.24 |
| 08-05 21:47 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0889923559 | $65.19 |
| 08-05 06:30 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.144 | $100.80 |
| 08-05 06:30 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.089994 | $89.99 |
| 08-05 06:25 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0889873311 | $42.14 |