PolyBot

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Traders

0x2915794f4C043c323A2a3065Cbd3240b0b3262E5-1777217344307

0x2915794f4c043c323a2a3065cbd3240b0b3262e5

Realised P&L
$151.71
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
230
Open portfolio
$284.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded230
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5430.455$125.65$24.35
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6550.820$87.67+$17.67
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3100.315$71.13+$1.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Down0.6140.000$0.00$1.72
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Up0.6500.000$0.00$10.00
Solana Up or Down - August 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Up0.6280.000$0.00$1.69
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$32.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Down0.2910.000$0.00$1.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.8130.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:59Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSELL0.02$0.03
09-18 01:59Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-18 01:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.849999915$1.00
09-17 16:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.529999998$50.00
09-17 16:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.3099999954$20.00
09-17 16:43No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.7304573047$50.00
09-17 09:59No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999927$20.00
09-17 09:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.3099999992$50.00
09-17 09:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5499999995$100.00
09-17 04:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ETBUY0.649999805$1.00
09-14 16:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8399999996$733.21
09-03 04:45No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.89$71.77
09-03 04:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSELL0.0507570648$8.73
09-03 04:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.869999998$40.00
09-03 04:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.8316831657$50.00