seryozhakakov
0x28e8a8993991078baba6f29837709277e2ba1e84
- Realised P&L
- $-515.03
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $162.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.981 | 0.981 | $57.85 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.964 | $56.80 | +$0.27 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.972 | 0.965 | $47.78 | −$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.90at 0.976Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.972Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
- +$0.52at 0.958Will Comey smile in his mugshot?
- +$0.51at 0.940Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
- +$0.50at 0.966Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 11:06 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.981 | $27.89 |
| 05-07 13:21 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 05-07 13:21 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.98 |