ObiWanKin
0x28e25eec62456c2665f77ef62a6105677a0db877
- Realised P&L
- $16.28
- Volume
- $704.93
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $449.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.919 | 0.955 | $102.97 | +$3.87 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No | 0.830 | 0.805 | $96.99 | −$3.01 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $94.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.939 | 0.959 | $77.44 | +$1.64 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No | 0.840 | 0.860 | $40.95 | +$0.95 |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.900 | $17.56 | +$0.20 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No | 0.960 | 0.976 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.865 | $8.65 | +$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.37at 0.480Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 09:49 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.8399999866 | $40.00 |
| 08-19 14:53 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.57 | $59.37 |
| 08-03 18:36 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999995 | $80.00 |
| 08-03 18:31 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 08-03 18:22 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999952 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 21:20 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 17:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 16:45 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.9599999616 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 16:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 16:26 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |