PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

roman-16

0x28c88a0a8910e1edef1ca256db5658808016a343

Realised P&L
$-48.82
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · No0.7100.981$41.45+$11.45
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.915$38.66+$8.66
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.7270.911$37.59+$7.59
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · No0.7310.909$37.30+$7.30
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.7600.905$35.72+$5.72
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? · No0.7410.875$35.40+$5.40
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · No0.8140.951$35.02+$5.02
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8020.935$34.98+$4.98
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? · No0.8590.990$34.55+$4.55
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.7330.840$34.37+$4.37
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · No0.8200.935$34.21+$4.21
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · No0.8600.976$34.05+$4.05
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.850$34.00+$4.00
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · No0.7330.830$33.99+$3.99
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · No0.7540.845$33.63+$3.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 13:05Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?BUY0.9$30.00
09-05 18:16U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?BUY0.9$30.00
09-04 03:39Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?BUY0.7425742574$30.00
09-02 14:04Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.9$30.00
09-01 14:09Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?BUY0.9036324013$30.00
09-01 02:37Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?BUY0.7099999953$30.00
08-29 15:01U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?BUY0.8711288699$30.00
08-26 13:59Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999953$30.00
08-25 18:50Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.7899999947$30.00
08-25 07:35Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8805603722$30.00
08-24 22:01NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.862809908$30.00
08-24 21:01Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?BUY0.8099999957$30.00
08-24 21:01Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7299999764$30.00
08-24 21:01Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.8499999986$30.00
07-28 23:07U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?BUY0.8604092824$30.00