PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

roman-16

0x28c88a0a8910e1edef1ca256db5658808016a343

Realised P&L
$-138.85
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · No0.7100.840$35.49+$5.49
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8020.935$34.98+$4.98
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.7600.885$34.93+$4.93
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? · No0.8190.935$34.23+$4.23
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.7800.885$34.04+$4.04
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8600.945$32.97+$2.97
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.820$32.80+$2.80
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.810$32.40+$2.40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8600.925$32.27+$2.27
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · No0.8460.905$32.09+$2.09
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.8240.875$31.85+$1.85
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8640.914$31.75+$1.75
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8410.880$31.39+$1.39
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8700.910$31.38+$1.38
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? · No0.8900.930$31.35+$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 23:07U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?BUY0.8604092824$30.00
07-27 16:07Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.8799999988$30.00
07-27 05:48U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299999764$30.00
07-26 17:40Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.8$30.00
07-26 02:55Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?BUY0.8499999986$30.00
07-26 00:07Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.8560053075$30.00
07-25 23:59Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.8958195078$30.00
07-25 07:29Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.8599999903$30.00
07-24 13:04Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayBUY0.8461865176$30.00
07-23 13:37Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.8599999989$30.00
07-23 12:00Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.8018409521$30.00
07-21 19:19U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?BUY0.8899999979$30.00
07-21 18:17Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.8764707326$30.00
07-21 12:38Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.8637398017$30.00
07-20 10:40China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.8562894097$30.00