SaucePolly1
0x2869efa18cb55b1d8e9a5a607b90f33044bb527d
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $921.8k
- Markets traded
- 14,423
- Open portfolio
- $226.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,423
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$272.86at 0.120Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)
- +$121.58at 0.090Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
- +$118.73at 0.061Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on May 2?
- +$101.06at 0.062Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 22?
- +$100.76at 0.021Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:52 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $8.06 |
| 10-08 16:52 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.16 |
| 10-08 16:52 | Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $8.41 |
| 10-08 16:51 | Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | SELL | 0.0298440506 | $1.18 |
| 10-08 16:51 | Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $7.85 |
| 10-08 16:51 | Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.956 | $9.72 |
| 10-08 16:51 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.980468 | $9.80 |
| 10-08 16:51 | Negative GDP growth in 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $10.77 |
| 10-08 16:50 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.3199299488 | $8.13 |
| 10-08 16:50 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4073333333 | $12.22 |
| 10-08 16:50 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 10-08 16:50 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.42 | $15.54 |
| 10-08 16:50 | Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 10-08 16:50 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $16.62 |
| 10-08 16:49 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.864 | $17.28 |