0x285ccA3D5fd4d87C19bD073E9dBd98b019EC3Ac1-1773849309760
0x285cca3d5fd4d87c19bd073e9dbd98b019ec3ac1
- Realised P&L
- $32.47
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,713
- Open portfolio
- $275.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,713
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$533.50at 0.478 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$192.00at 0.620US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$101.05at 0.331Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
- +$53.84at 0.789Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$44.87at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:10 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2330133962 | $40.00 |
| 09-13 10:57 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 10:56 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 11:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 08-01 20:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 07-26 11:31 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.83 | $202.43 |
| 07-20 09:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 09:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | SELL | 0.863501435 | $63.18 |
| 07-18 07:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | BUY | 0.8199999981 | $60.00 |
| 07-18 07:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 06-28 05:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7839098504 | $200.00 |
| 06-27 20:31 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 20:08 | Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 20:06 | Morgan Rogers: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.2798507287 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 20:05 | Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |