fengchen9
0x28402265f360233d263edbc1fa35c339d139b3b3
- Realised P&L
- $-948.65
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $17.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.645 | $16.13 | −$5.88 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.019 | $1.87 | −$14.43 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 13-19? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$788.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.83at 0.765Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$19.80at 0.633Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$1.80at 0.500BNB all time high by December 31?
- +$1.16at 0.929Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
- +$-0.33at 0.924Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 23:38 | Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? | SELL | 0.0967991059 | $42.44 |
| 01-04 02:57 | Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? | BUY | 0.5802993208 | $24.00 |
| 01-04 02:57 | Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? | BUY | 0.5021884822 | $100.00 |
| 01-04 02:57 | Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $97.00 |
| 11-02 07:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.169999993 | $16.30 |
| 10-27 03:02 | Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.77 | $81.17 |
| 10-27 03:02 | Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.7613483143 | $88.00 |
| 10-27 02:57 | Pepe ETF in 2025? | SELL | 0.9247557643 | $21.66 |
| 10-27 02:57 | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $163.40 |
| 10-26 00:58 | Pepe ETF in 2025? | BUY | 0.9389999976 | $22.00 |
| 10-26 00:56 | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $43.60 |
| 10-26 00:55 | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6296114117 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 00:52 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.937 | $144.54 |
| 10-25 05:37 | Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9869999869 | $21.00 |
| 10-25 05:36 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $21.26 |