qymelissa
0x28394107e591c54bc17d6e8c280b9914f88129a7
- Realised P&L
- $124.05
- Volume
- $42.7k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $26.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO dissolves before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.973 | $7.22 | +$0.32 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.984 | $6.76 | +$0.85 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.940 | 0.971 | $4.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.995 | $3.94 | +$0.14 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.955 | $2.65 | +$0.29 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No | 0.944 | 0.991 | $2.10 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.27at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
- +$30.53at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?
- +$19.75at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?
- +$5.99at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 16?
- +$3.81at 0.650Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 15:25 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.04 |
| 06-25 11:51 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.41 |
| 06-05 01:20 | Obama divorce before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.15 |
| 06-05 01:20 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.65 |
| 06-05 01:18 | Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $3.42 |
| 05-18 06:32 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999741 | $4.57 |
| 05-15 02:12 | Obama divorce before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999789 | $2.20 |
| 05-13 20:58 | Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | BUY | 0.8599999825 | $5.91 |
| 04-22 14:17 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.968999967 | $2.79 |
| 04-20 09:23 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.986 | $6.51 |
| 04-18 20:26 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.984 | $4.70 |
| 04-17 23:31 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.9079999834 | $4.80 |
| 04-17 00:34 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399997838 | $4.00 |
| 04-15 14:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $196.87 |
| 04-15 14:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $195.87 |