antoniopine
0x2801951d3014564ce32557904a7ba63f4904c323
- Realised P&L
- $6.09
- Volume
- $137.37
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $34.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30? · No | 0.960 | 0.913 | $9.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes | 0.140 | 1.000 | $7.14 | +$6.14 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $3.01 | +$0.01 |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · No | 0.960 | 0.955 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.295 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 1.000 | $2.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.695 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: October · Nothing | 0.890 | 0.875 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.775 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.040 | $0.69 | −$1.31 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 07:36 | Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 07:34 | Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 07:32 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 07:30 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:29 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 07:29 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? | BUY | 0.1161046832 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 07:27 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 07:22 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.997999676 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 07:16 | Nothing Ever Happens: October | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 07:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.00 |