PolyBot

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Traders

heretus

0x27ff72c364a6e6a4afedb0617412b07e4f47359f

Realised P&L
$-495.88
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$140.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1120.182$105.74+$40.73
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3870.512$13.24+$3.24
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1200.105$13.13$1.88
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0650.054$5.03$0.97
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0360.021$2.94$2.06
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$45.80
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$119.08
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.3610.000$0.00$336.59
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$25.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.1700.000$0.00$30.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$30.00
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 17:22Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1889999907$15.00
08-13 17:21Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.036$30.55
08-05 21:302026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.12$15.00
08-05 21:292026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseSELL0.011$1.22
04-30 14:55Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.013$3.38
04-30 14:55Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0384505076$10.00
04-30 14:462026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.008999991$1.00
04-30 14:44Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.0649999901$6.00
04-30 14:43Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.0365939187$5.00
04-30 14:34Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3869999805$10.00
03-05 17:15Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.1699999955$30.00
03-05 17:06Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.0899250597$30.00
02-20 16:59US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?BUY0.1$45.80
02-10 02:47Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1347819772$10.00
02-10 02:44Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2699999937$30.00