0x27f213005d6c7365e6f53dcb6fcd4ede3247dea6
0x27f213005d6c7365e6f53dcb6fcd4ede3247dea6
- Realised P&L
- $-13.81
- Volume
- $127.46
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.225 | $1.07 | −$0.93 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.460 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.19at 0.602Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.07at 0.649Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?
- +$1.07at 0.649Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:33 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 22:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:11 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:46 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:58 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 22:10 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 21:12 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 13:08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 05:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 21:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 12:54 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 04:44 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 4? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 04:44 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 20:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 12:43 | Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |