PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Unfeared

0x27ecc8aa342af8138023f51feb982997ef70e521

Realised P&L
$-719.38
Volume
$1.43M
Markets traded
3,774
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,774
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.1890.205$488.15+$37.05
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? · Yes0.8000.885$206.81+$19.86
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.9510.986$59.13+$2.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9760.986$59.13+$0.54
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · No0.9630.963$57.78+$0.00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.9510.962$57.69+$0.63
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5760.545$40.40−$2.26
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.9740.976$39.03+$0.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9750.972$38.86−$0.14
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9730.966$38.62−$0.30
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9880.971$19.42−$0.34
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9680.970$19.40+$0.02
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9580.956$19.12−$0.04
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9670.956$19.11−$0.23
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.935$18.71−$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 09:57Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.0818181766$1.00
10-08 09:48Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.06$7.43
10-07 21:45Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?BUY0.8$186.94
10-07 20:22Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.19$9.50
10-07 18:53Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.1893048306$360.00
10-05 20:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.4199999966$5.00
07-30 01:08Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Kei NishikoriSELL0.999$50.90
07-18 10:47Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel CerundoloSELL0.5010625$40.08
07-07 21:53Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?SELL0.09$2.25
07-07 21:53Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?BUY0.1$2.50
07-07 21:51Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?BUY0.1299999474$2.10
07-07 21:51Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?BUY0.1299999474$2.10
07-07 21:51Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?BUY0.1299999474$2.10
07-07 21:51Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?BUY0.1299999474$2.10
07-07 21:51Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?BUY0.1299999474$2.10