PolyBot

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Traders

0x27e1b2a4782edce3ab3a5daa151fa6eaba868ec1

0x27e1b2a4782edce3ab3a5daa151fa6eaba868ec1

Realised P&L
$50.90
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$638.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8500.957$225.12+$25.12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8980.971$216.26+$16.26
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · No0.9420.964$93.99+$2.11
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.9000.805$53.98−$6.37
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.8000.650$49.03−$11.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 12:28Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.8$60.35
09-15 12:27Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.899999994$60.35
07-19 20:14Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6009999967$51.80
07-07 17:23Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3369999977$69.56
04-29 00:08Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9423518514$91.88
04-29 00:05Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?SELL0.995$103.17
04-17 15:58Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?BUY0.8149999989$83.37
03-15 03:54Will Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?SELL0.0820787031$6.28
03-14 20:14Will Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?BUY0.6536585347$50.00
03-10 13:10Will Korea make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?BUY0.9299999993$50.00
03-10 09:45Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8979999959$200.00
03-10 09:41Will Dominican Republic make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?BUY0.9$50.00
03-09 13:12First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South KoreaSELL0.999$143.71
03-09 11:25Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.2358110508$100.00
03-08 19:13First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South KoreaBUY0.6951616733$100.00