PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jimacosta

0x27e185615ee428013b3bec09af2ddde41f213252

Realised P&L
$-1.48
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$129.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · No0.9460.975$108.22+$3.22
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September? · No0.9960.967$20.87−$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 13:55Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September?BUY0.996$21.51
08-26 17:25Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.998$22.16
07-27 12:54Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.998$20.14
07-11 14:29Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9459999948$105.00
05-11 14:56Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?BUY0.991$124.36
04-20 14:14Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?BUY0.7599999407$2.05
04-20 12:36Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?BUY0.999$72.24
04-16 09:06Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 13-19?BUY0.999$72.36
04-09 14:53Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?BUY0.998$72.31
04-09 12:50Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?BUY0.88$2.68
04-08 10:55Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?SELL0.61$1.38
04-02 20:46Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?BUY0.994$73.01
04-02 20:22Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?BUY0.8399999726$2.45
04-02 16:45Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?BUY0.75$2.69
04-02 15:04Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?BUY0.4499998897$1.02