jimacosta
0x27e185615ee428013b3bec09af2ddde41f213252
- Realised P&L
- $-1.48
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $129.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.946 | 0.975 | $108.22 | +$3.22 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September? · No | 0.996 | 0.967 | $20.87 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.35at 0.590Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
- +$1.20at 0.620Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
- +$1.13at 0.991Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.97at 0.978Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.90at 0.750Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 13:55 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.51 |
| 08-26 17:25 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.16 |
| 07-27 12:54 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.14 |
| 07-11 14:29 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9459999948 | $105.00 |
| 05-11 14:56 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $124.36 |
| 04-20 14:14 | Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? | BUY | 0.7599999407 | $2.05 |
| 04-20 12:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.24 |
| 04-16 09:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.36 |
| 04-09 14:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.998 | $72.31 |
| 04-09 12:50 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.68 |
| 04-08 10:55 | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.38 |
| 04-02 20:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.994 | $73.01 |
| 04-02 20:22 | Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999726 | $2.45 |
| 04-02 16:45 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.69 |
| 04-02 15:04 | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998897 | $1.02 |