0x27e077778e8bc2862bdec30875f193d41ac32704
0x27e077778e8bc2862bdec30875f193d41ac32704
- Realised P&L
- $-0.77
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 218
- Open portfolio
- $30.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded218
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.69at 0.173US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$5.77at 0.149Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$3.03at 0.895Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$2.85at 0.707US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$2.18at 0.101Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:23 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.06 |
| 10-01 13:10 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.12 |
| 10-01 13:01 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.10 |
| 10-01 12:47 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.56 |
| 10-01 12:29 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6799998384 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 10:21 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.19 |
| 10-01 10:20 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.11 |
| 10-01 06:57 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.239999962 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 06:57 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7899993899 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 06:56 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.48 |
| 10-01 06:42 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999889 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 06:42 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999889 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 05:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099997273 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 05:15 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.35 |
| 10-01 05:15 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.50 |