PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x27cb1274600f134279e6741a4512d71e273ac6dd

Realised P&L
$2.01
Volume
$92.40
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$11.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7601.000$2.63+$0.63
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes0.5110.536$2.10+$0.10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.6500.670$2.06+$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7600.515$1.36$0.64
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3900.365$1.09$0.07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3600.115$0.64$1.36
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3000.090$0.60$1.40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7700.165$0.43$1.57
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.6900.110$0.32$1.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 11:57Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-05 03:54Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?BUY0.5109999175$2.00
08-04 19:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-04 11:52Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.76$2.00
08-04 03:51US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-02 19:43Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
08-02 19:34Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
08-02 09:30Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.699999755$2.00
08-02 00:52US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.77$2.00
08-02 00:48Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-01 16:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
08-01 14:15Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-01 03:24Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
07-31 19:24Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 11:23Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.39$1.17