b975
0x278f9bcc82de7ca427c1fe10f3bdcddf050e6da6
- Realised P&L
- $-72.73
- Volume
- $111.7k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $36.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $29.38 | −$102.82 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 4? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.31 | +$0.00 |
| Will "The Sex Lives of College Girls: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.13 | +$0.00 |
| Will "Earle Meets World: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.13 | +$0.00 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $1.12 | +$0.00 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $1.12 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.92at 0.788Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$2.16at 0.964Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$1.25at 0.975Will someone else be inaugurated?
- +$0.54at 0.005Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$0.11at 0.998Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 14:51 | Will "Earle Meets World: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 09-04 14:51 | Will "The Sex Lives of College Girls: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 09-04 14:50 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.12 |
| 09-04 14:49 | Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.12 |
| 09-04 14:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9979993413 | $1.50 |
| 09-04 14:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9979994271 | $1.31 |
| 08-03 13:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.45 |
| 08-03 13:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.26 |
| 08-03 13:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 4? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.25 |
| 08-03 13:04 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 4? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:03 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 06-25 17:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 25? | BUY | 0.9909999974 | $1.15 |
| 06-25 17:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 25? | BUY | 0.9909999974 | $1.15 |
| 06-25 17:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.08 |