Hailai
0x278b288b195593d0cee4c31525422bbbf8a93253
- Realised P&L
- $433.67
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 371
- Open portfolio
- $48.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded371
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.914 | 0.961 | $10.51 | +$0.51 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.550 | 0.550 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Stars vs. Blues · Stars | 0.530 | 0.525 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
| Jets vs. Oilers · Oilers | 0.650 | 0.610 | $9.38 | −$0.62 |
| Golden Knights vs. Kings · Golden Knights | 0.567 | 0.510 | $8.99 | −$1.01 |
| New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Stars vs. Wild · Wild | 0.548 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.82 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves · San Diego Padres | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova · Antonia Ruzic | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 · TheMongolz | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs · DRX Challengers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Cincinnati Reds | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.72at 0.082Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$66.66at 0.133Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
- +$61.83at 0.397Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$52.25at 0.164Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$41.86at 0.500Pistons vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:45 | Golden Knights vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5671641774 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:45 | Jets vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:45 | Stars vs. Blues | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:44 | Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.998999976 | $40.00 |
| 09-14 19:43 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:43 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:43 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:43 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:43 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:42 | Rennes: Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montes | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:42 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:41 | Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:41 | Caldas da Rainha: Sinja Kraus vs Mia Pohankova | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:41 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |