0x277aAB45a33ACc60dA02c0a8470DcFf1D47FA728-1766331628912
0x277aab45a33acc60da02c0a8470dcff1d47fa728
- Realised P&L
- $841.79
- Volume
- $32.9k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$357.64at 0.897Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$148.50at 0.889Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
- +$91.12at 0.620Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$72.63at 0.900Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
- +$72.52at 0.977Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:08 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9786935708 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 13:57 | Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.2199999994 | $250.00 |
| 08-02 13:39 | Will Ildikó Enyedi be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.9548305474 | $600.00 |
| 08-02 06:24 | Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.9128902283 | $1000.00 |
| 07-19 17:55 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0739999343 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 19:59 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 17:44 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9651897525 | $300.00 |
| 07-14 15:12 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5874999892 | $4.07 |
| 07-11 06:46 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.8199995964 | $1.91 |
| 07-11 03:07 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.357499921 | $1.99 |
| 07-10 18:40 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.73 | $1.45 |
| 07-09 17:35 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.777499951 | $2.50 |
| 07-09 17:34 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.839 | $2.52 |
| 07-06 21:13 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8449999997 | $319.69 |
| 07-05 16:37 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $3.00 |