PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x277aAB45a33ACc60dA02c0a8470DcFf1D47FA728-1766331628912

0x277aab45a33acc60da02c0a8470dcff1d47fa728

Realised P&L
$545.53
Volume
$46.8k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$9.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9200.999$5.0k+$392.52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9000.925$3.1k+$83.34
Will the National Alliance (NA) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9770.985$1.0k+$8.01
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · Yes0.8500.835$196.47−$3.53
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5840.000$0.00−$5.84
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz0.7900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov · Grigor Dimitrov0.7960.000$0.00−$12.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5870.000$0.00−$4.07
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina · Aryna Sabalenka0.3700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.8400.000$0.00−$16.29
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$1.00
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic0.6700.000$0.00−$4.00
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette · Jelena Ostapenko0.6800.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 13:06Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?BUY0.8499999998$200.00
09-25 13:06Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.997$199.40
09-25 12:31Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezSELL0.999$15.13
09-25 11:50Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.6599999842$10.00
09-24 19:42Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
09-24 04:56Will the National Alliance (NA) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?BUY0.9766825965$1.0k
09-20 22:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.996$49.80
09-16 15:56Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7399999995$300.00
09-16 15:55Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.985$297.47
09-16 15:50Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.74$555.00
09-16 07:242026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.9$3.0k
09-16 06:102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.89$1.01
09-12 20:53US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaBUY0.3699999593$3.00
09-10 07:512026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.8799997184$1.00
09-09 16:14US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena RybakinaBUY0.5299999995$11.00