0x277aAB45a33ACc60dA02c0a8470DcFf1D47FA728-1766331628912
0x277aab45a33acc60da02c0a8470dcff1d47fa728
- Realised P&L
- $545.53
- Volume
- $46.8k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $9.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$357.64at 0.897Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$300.41at 0.740Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$148.50at 0.889Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
- +$101.59at 0.844US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$91.94at 0.916Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:06 | Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |
| 09-25 13:06 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 09-25 12:31 | Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | SELL | 0.999 | $15.13 |
| 09-25 11:50 | Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 19:42 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 04:56 | Will the National Alliance (NA) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9766825965 | $1.0k |
| 09-20 22:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $49.80 |
| 09-16 15:56 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999995 | $300.00 |
| 09-16 15:55 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.985 | $297.47 |
| 09-16 15:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $555.00 |
| 09-16 07:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.9 | $3.0k |
| 09-16 06:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.89 | $1.01 |
| 09-12 20:53 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 07:51 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:14 | US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.5299999995 | $11.00 |