PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x277aAB45a33ACc60dA02c0a8470DcFf1D47FA728-1766331628912

0x277aab45a33acc60da02c0a8470dcff1d47fa728

Realised P&L
$841.79
Volume
$32.9k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$8.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9200.981$5.5k+$344.79
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? · No0.9760.974$1.3k$2.72
Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary? · No0.9130.966$1.1k+$58.18
Will Ildikó Enyedi be the next President of Hungary? · No0.9550.960$602.93+$2.93
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? · Yes0.2200.345$391.93+$141.93
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5840.000$0.00$5.84
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$1.00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov · Grigor Dimitrov0.7960.000$0.00$12.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5870.000$0.00$4.07
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$16.29
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$1.00
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands0.6000.000$0.00$1.00
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic0.6700.000$0.00$4.00
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette · Jelena Ostapenko0.6800.000$0.00$3.00
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka · Aryna Sabalenka0.6700.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:08Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9786935708$1000.00
08-02 13:57Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.2199999994$250.00
08-02 13:39Will Ildikó Enyedi be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.9548305474$600.00
08-02 06:24Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.9128902283$1000.00
07-19 17:55Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0739999343$1.00
07-18 19:59France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6899999586$1.00
07-17 17:44Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9651897525$300.00
07-14 15:12France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5874999892$4.07
07-11 06:46Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.8199995964$1.91
07-11 03:07Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.357499921$1.99
07-10 18:40Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.73$1.45
07-09 17:35France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.777499951$2.50
07-09 17:34Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.839$2.52
07-06 21:13Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8449999997$319.69
07-05 16:37Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaBUY0.6699999933$3.00