Farewell333
0x2753b2db276ffdddc2b26155815f509fe349e28a
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $157.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,488
- Open portfolio
- $115.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,488
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.72at 0.825Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?
- +$131.91at 0.713Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 28?
- +$122.75at 0.695Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?
- +$118.25at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?
- +$104.71at 0.757Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5083088938 | $20.00 |
| 08-08 01:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4271346816 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3784270373 | $5.99 |
| 08-08 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0699999839 | $4.00 |
| 08-07 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.9128876055 | $41.10 |
| 08-07 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5304518655 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.47625 | $19.05 |
| 08-07 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.7395980804 | $12.33 |
| 08-07 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.79 | $6.32 |
| 08-07 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6433379967 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5296436998 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 08-07 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4442250639 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.64 |
| 08-07 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.7497600768 | $30.00 |