why....
0x2723b37b5d659e0845805918117c2ebc1f67d961
- Realised P&L
- $-15.58
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $4.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.01at 0.652Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$1.88at 0.629Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$1.88at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$1.71at 0.365Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$1.54at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:53 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:49 | Will AD Tarma win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 19:09 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.00 |
| 02-21 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $4.82 |
| 02-21 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999703 | $5.47 |
| 02-21 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.58 |
| 02-21 09:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $0.98 |
| 02-21 09:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 04:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $1.60 |
| 02-16 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $0.29 |
| 02-16 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $2.25 |
| 02-16 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999694 | $3.90 |
| 02-16 03:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.59 |
| 02-16 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $1.96 |