PolyBot

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Traders

0x271229d5fa9dbef1476e14eedae67fa634c4eb71

0x271229d5fa9dbef1476e14eedae67fa634c4eb71

Realised P&L
$-717.57
Volume
$99.9k
Markets traded
886
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded886
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3520.945$134.21+$84.21
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? · No0.3921.000$101.98+$62.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.4911.000$101.74+$51.75
Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026? · No0.5851.000$85.44+$35.44
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? · No0.6101.000$82.01+$32.01
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.5330.845$79.17+$29.18
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17? · No0.6341.000$78.89+$28.90
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? · No0.3901.000$76.92+$46.92
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026? · No0.3901.000$75.73+$46.20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5280.765$72.47+$22.47
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.5910.835$70.58+$20.58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.5070.850$69.04+$27.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · No0.7171.000$66.87+$18.90
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No0.2701.000$66.66+$48.66
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? · No0.7641.000$65.47+$15.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 09:58GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?SELL0.32$22.58
06-23 22:19Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?SELL0.38$2.23
06-23 13:40Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?SELL0.38$14.14
06-23 12:43Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?SELL0.5$12.99
06-23 09:45Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?SELL0.33$5.94
06-22 05:48Starmer out by June 22, 2026?SELL0.32$27.29
06-19 09:18Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?SELL0.6$30.00
06-19 09:14Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?SELL0.074$0.41
06-19 09:14Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?SELL0.086$0.09
06-19 09:14Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?SELL0.12$2.93
06-19 09:14Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.3B?SELL0.07$0.56
06-19 09:14Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B?SELL0.09$4.50
06-19 09:14Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?SELL0.1$2.44
06-19 09:14Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?SELL0.0224197712$2.14
06-19 09:14Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of June?SELL0.55$11.95