PolyBot

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Traders

0x271229d5fa9dbef1476e14eedae67fa634c4eb71

Realised P&L
$-335.22
Volume
$101.9k
Markets traded
886
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded886
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? · No0.3921.000$101.98+$62.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.4911.000$101.74+$51.75
Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026? · No0.5851.000$85.44+$35.44
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? · No0.6101.000$82.01+$32.01
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17? · No0.6341.000$78.89+$28.90
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? · No0.3901.000$76.92+$46.92
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026? · No0.3901.000$75.73+$46.20
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.5330.740$69.34+$19.34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · No0.7171.000$66.87+$18.90
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.5910.790$66.78+$16.78
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No0.2701.000$66.66+$48.66
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3520.465$66.04+$16.04
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? · No0.7641.000$65.47+$15.47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.5070.785$63.76+$22.60
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? · No0.3141.000$57.27+$39.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 09:58GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?SELL0.32$22.58
06-23 22:19Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?SELL0.38$2.23
06-23 13:40Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?SELL0.38$14.14
06-23 12:43Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?SELL0.5$12.99
06-23 09:45Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?SELL0.33$5.94
06-22 05:48Starmer out by June 22, 2026?SELL0.32$27.29
06-19 09:18Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?SELL0.6$30.00
06-19 09:14Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?SELL0.074$0.41
06-19 09:14Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?SELL0.086$0.09
06-19 09:14Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?SELL0.12$2.93
06-19 09:14Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.3B?SELL0.07$0.56
06-19 09:14Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B?SELL0.09$4.50
06-19 09:14Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?SELL0.1$2.44
06-19 09:14Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?SELL0.0224197712$2.14
06-19 09:14Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of June?SELL0.55$11.95