0x271229d5fa9dbef1476e14eedae67fa634c4eb71
- Realised P&L
- $-335.22
- Volume
- $101.9k
- Markets traded
- 886
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded886
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$384.05at 0.226Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
- +$298.31at 0.246Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
- +$293.91at 0.243Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
- +$281.37at 0.712Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
- +$165.25at 0.747GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 09:58 | GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $22.58 |
| 06-23 22:19 | Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.23 |
| 06-23 13:40 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | SELL | 0.38 | $14.14 |
| 06-23 12:43 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | SELL | 0.5 | $12.99 |
| 06-23 09:45 | Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $5.94 |
| 06-22 05:48 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $27.29 |
| 06-19 09:18 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 06-19 09:14 | Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B? | SELL | 0.074 | $0.41 |
| 06-19 09:14 | Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B? | SELL | 0.086 | $0.09 |
| 06-19 09:14 | Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.93 |
| 06-19 09:14 | Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.3B? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.56 |
| 06-19 09:14 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 06-19 09:14 | Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.44 |
| 06-19 09:14 | Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B? | SELL | 0.0224197712 | $2.14 |
| 06-19 09:14 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of June? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.95 |