PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wweat

0x270b3f559eae88ee2a076ed52abdadabb059e632

Realised P&L
$-16.4k
Volume
$1.01M
Markets traded
2,748
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,748
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 3.50.5400.735$646.80+$171.60
Will Washington have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 8.50.3500.185$458.80−$408.54
Will Auburn have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 6.50.4700.475$418.00+$4.01
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.1000.049$137.85−$146.38
Will Duke have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · U 5.50.4190.185$125.80−$159.40
Will Virginia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 7.50.6300.555$44.40−$6.00
Will Davante Adams have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7300.285$36.73−$57.36
Will Illinois have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 7.50.3870.495$29.70+$6.50
Will Texas Tech have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 10.50.6300.625$25.00−$0.20
Will SMU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 8.50.5420.540$24.84−$0.11
Will Florida State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 6.50.3550.495$19.80+$5.60
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4200.615$18.45+$5.85
Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · U 10.50.5200.455$18.20−$2.60
Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · U 7.50.4100.405$16.20−$0.20
Will California have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 6.50.4100.180$14.40−$18.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 02:18Will Purdue have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.63$12.60
09-18 10:52Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?SELL0.52$6.22
09-18 10:28Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?SELL0.422195122$7.62
09-18 10:26Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?SELL0.548$22.99
09-13 10:21Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?SELL0.76$15.20
09-13 06:42Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?SELL0.130987$2.62
09-13 06:14Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?SELL0.15$3.00
09-13 05:14Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.6172067044$66.47
09-13 04:49Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?SELL0.53$21.20
09-13 04:23Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.687625$27.51
09-13 02:07Will Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?SELL0.1$1.88
09-13 02:06Will Ohio State have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.45$9.00
09-13 01:56Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?SELL0.135$2.70
09-13 00:48Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.8$16.00
09-13 00:25Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?SELL0.52$11.28