0x26b6e2cf8044288f44c04cfcf4aa1339cd75b8e6
0x26b6e2cf8044288f44c04cfcf4aa1339cd75b8e6
- Realised P&L
- $-15.00
- Volume
- $268.50
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $6.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.595 | $3.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.491 | 0.510 | $2.18 | +$0.08 |
| Will Aston Villa reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? · No | 0.890 | 0.435 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? · No | 0.980 | 0.425 | $0.43 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.477Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.45at 0.873Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$1.19at 0.810Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
- +$0.70at 0.879Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.898Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 10:28 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 10:21 | Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 10:21 | Will Aston Villa reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 10:19 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 10:19 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.925 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 10:19 | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.8939999964 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 10:18 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.7939999714 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 10:18 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 00:35 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. CF Montréal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999643 | $3.13 |
| 08-30 00:34 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4909999663 | $2.10 |
| 08-29 03:52 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 03:52 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 03:52 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 03:51 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 08-10 02:26 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |