Sisco78
0x2690692df2896733fb4916c53abbfea0964d299a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $66.9k
- Markets traded
- 327
- Open portfolio
- $788.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded327
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.46at 0.785France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$46.62at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$43.50at 0.605Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
- +$39.55at 0.864Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$37.11at 0.114Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 21:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-03 23:15 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $5.03 |
| 07-31 21:53 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $25.42 |
| 07-27 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $2.89 |
| 07-25 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 21:52 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? | SELL | 0.09 | $31.50 |
| 07-09 21:44 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? | SELL | 0.1 | $35.00 |
| 07-09 13:06 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.029 | $44.20 |
| 07-09 09:05 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 07-09 08:54 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.11 | $44.00 |
| 07-09 08:52 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.56 | $44.80 |
| 07-09 08:08 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.11 | $16.50 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.62 | $15.50 |
| 07-09 07:09 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |