lorenzorv
0x267cdfd8c193f34158fe20a24cf5de9c8ab77041
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 471
- Open portfolio
- $115.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded471
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.24at 0.370Bruins vs. Capitals
- +$147.07at 0.405Mariners vs. Blue Jays
- +$70.71at 0.560Mariners vs. Tigers
- +$63.75at 0.320Lions vs. Ravens
- +$61.11at 0.450Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 23:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.016 | $16.00 |
| 10-25 16:08 | Pistons vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 16:08 | Raptors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 16:06 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 16:05 | Broncos vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $8.00 |
| 10-25 16:04 | Dolphins vs. Jets | BUY | 0.6599999785 | $8.00 |
| 10-25 16:04 | 49ers vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.5899999712 | $8.00 |
| 10-25 16:03 | Colts vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 17:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 09-03 23:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.54 | $637.07 |
| 08-21 23:32 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.62 | $731.45 |
| 08-04 22:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.5k |
| 08-04 22:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6499999902 | $50.00 |
| 06-16 12:38 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.064 | $7.00 |
| 06-16 12:38 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999908 | $2.00 |