PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lorenzorv

0x267cdfd8c193f34158fe20a24cf5de9c8ab77041

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
471
Open portfolio
$115.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded471
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.2000.117$47.00−$33.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6500.705$35.25+$2.75
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6200.275$19.25−$24.15
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.4000.125$7.50−$16.50
Will Walker Kessler win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player? · Yes0.1200.041$6.97−$13.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00−$1.15
Hornets vs. Pacers · Hornets0.5400.000$0.00−$132.50
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3120.000$0.00−$18.72
Clippers vs. Hawks · Hawks0.6200.000$0.00−$3.10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$2.94
49ers vs. Falcons · 49ers0.5900.000$0.00−$8.00
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.60
Aces vs. Storm · Aces0.6700.000$0.00−$4.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 23:49Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.016$16.00
10-25 16:08Pistons vs. 76ersBUY0.5$5.00
10-25 16:08Raptors vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.5$5.00
10-25 16:06Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.629999995$15.00
10-25 16:05Broncos vs. CardinalsBUY0.6799999932$8.00
10-25 16:04Dolphins vs. JetsBUY0.6599999785$8.00
10-25 16:0449ers vs. FalconsBUY0.5899999712$8.00
10-25 16:03Colts vs. VikingsBUY0.75$10.00
10-21 17:252026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.65$32.50
09-03 23:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.54$637.07
08-21 23:32Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.62$731.45
08-04 22:56Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.65$1.5k
08-04 22:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6499999902$50.00
06-16 12:38Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.064$7.00
06-16 12:38Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0189999908$2.00