MrBillinc
0x267280d3ad21c399db27b2609bb9b8bddd809830
- Realised P&L
- $-195.04
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $44.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.50at 0.064Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
- +$13.71at 0.420Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
- +$11.94at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
- +$9.77at 0.617Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
- +$7.96at 0.370Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 18:15 | Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.07 |
| 07-29 18:14 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.62 | $5.08 |
| 07-29 18:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.57 |
| 07-28 23:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7589999961 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 14:05 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 18:11 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.005 | $5.23 |
| 06-10 18:54 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 01:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.44999997 | $6.00 |
| 06-09 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 01:13 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0057324567 | $6.00 |
| 03-19 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $0.97 |
| 03-19 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.449999955 | $4.85 |
| 03-19 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $0.98 |
| 03-19 17:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $0.98 |
| 03-19 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.27 |