0x26507a715c6db45794f533fc4062ee1e022644f7
0x26507a715c6db45794f533fc4062ee1e022644f7
- Realised P&L
- $-210.89
- Volume
- $24.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,293
- Open portfolio
- $122.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,293
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.83at 0.033Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-03-16?
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- +$37.51at 0.074Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-14?
- +$33.48at 0.029Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?
- +$28.30at 0.143Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 04:07 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:06 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.9569999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:03 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 03:48 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 03:47 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 03:40 | NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 03:34 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.23 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.01 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.13 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.19 |
| 10-03 01:20 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 01:18 | US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.97 |
| 10-02 23:11 | Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:10 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.11 |
| 10-02 23:02 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.92 |