Mahmomar
0x263f7f02829e80892948b485f09e7fe5d1bfb621
- Realised P&L
- $-85.77
- Volume
- $102.7k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $141.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.77at 0.047Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$171.82at 0.028Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
- +$49.00at 0.100Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$45.00at 0.100Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
- +$38.51at 0.115Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 11:48 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.0319608694 | $18.26 |
| 08-30 11:45 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0349999983 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 11:35 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.0011787 | $0.12 |
| 08-30 11:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.003 | $25.00 |
| 08-30 11:33 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.147 | $16.33 |
| 08-30 11:33 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.114 | $31.67 |
| 07-30 07:49 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0169999966 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 07:49 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 07:47 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 07:46 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.93 |
| 07-30 07:45 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.91 |
| 07-30 07:43 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0119999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 07:43 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 07:43 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0259999948 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 07:39 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |