PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x263C55A057a148b446BeCEa8b1cb1240e99B87A0-1774076566876

0x263c55a057a148b446becea8b1cb1240e99b87a0

Realised P&L
$143.61
Volume
$53.9k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$393.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No0.7570.775$170.50+$4.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6930.775$93.00+$9.80
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8900.915$91.50+$2.50
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3720.310$38.12−$7.61
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$48.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$49.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.7920.000$0.00−$16.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5AM ET · Up0.1070.000$0.00−$6.40
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? · Up0.1310.000$0.00−$42.00
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 11PM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00−$6.60
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? · Down0.5300.000$0.00−$53.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$85.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$4.50
Will France win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$12.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 05:09Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?BUY0.53$53.00
10-03 05:22Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?BUY0.09$4.50
10-02 08:36NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.89$89.00
10-02 08:34Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.06$6.00
09-30 06:41Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?SELL0.5$50.00
09-30 05:57Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.39$39.00
09-27 15:40Ethereum Up or Down on September 27?BUY0.237$23.70
09-27 15:37Ethereum Up or Down on September 27?SELL0.76$76.00
09-27 15:32Ethereum Up or Down on September 27?BUY0.28$11.20
09-27 15:20Ethereum Up or Down on September 27?BUY0.43$21.50
09-27 15:18Ethereum Up or Down on September 27?BUY0.47$4.70
09-27 15:02Ethereum Up or Down on September 27?BUY0.77$77.00
09-27 13:08Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$8.73
09-27 13:02Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.62$34.10
09-27 13:02Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.62$12.54