PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ProvidingExitLiq

0x261fa50d06c17add1f93848dc16d710803991709

Realised P&L
$-899.83
Volume
$36.3k
Markets traded
177
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded177
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9480.968$496.58+$10.26
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9150.971$485.50+$28.10
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? · Yes0.9301.000$328.73+$22.86
Will Ted Lasso rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? · No0.8000.993$248.25+$48.25
Will The Pitt rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? · No0.7650.966$246.21+$51.21
Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · Yes0.7100.845$211.25+$33.75
Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · No0.7800.815$203.75+$8.75
Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? · No0.8841.000$199.90+$23.04
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · No0.8800.770$192.49−$27.50
Will Stefon Diggs rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · No0.9140.998$191.61+$16.20
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · No0.8170.755$189.49−$15.51
Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? · No0.5130.710$183.23+$50.73
Will His & Hers rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? · No0.7450.690$173.58−$13.92
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? · Yes0.7221.000$170.63+$47.42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.845$169.00+$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 12:20Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.6$12.00
10-16 06:37Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.7378934448$111.22
10-15 10:32Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.471695332$100.00
10-15 06:39Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.62$9.30
10-14 17:37Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.93$305.87
10-14 10:06Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.6492642894$353.00
10-14 04:26Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.47$9.40
10-13 15:27Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.8843$176.86
10-11 06:35Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?SELL0.1175$5.88
10-11 06:34Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?SELL0.1476$3.69
10-11 06:34Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.83$19.09
10-11 06:20Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?SELL0.23$26.84
10-11 06:19Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.7603748327$71.00
10-11 06:19Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?SELL0.989$32.60
10-11 06:19Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?SELL0.996$27.39