ProvidingExitLiq
0x261fa50d06c17add1f93848dc16d710803991709
- Realised P&L
- $-899.83
- Volume
- $36.3k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.74at 0.458Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
- +$234.50at 0.611Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- +$144.77at 0.642Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$106.45at 0.639Will Costco say "Labor" during earnings call?
- +$84.03at 0.508Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 12:20 | Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-16 06:37 | Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.7378934448 | $111.22 |
| 10-15 10:32 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.471695332 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 06:39 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.62 | $9.30 |
| 10-14 17:37 | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.93 | $305.87 |
| 10-14 10:06 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.6492642894 | $353.00 |
| 10-14 04:26 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 10-13 15:27 | Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.8843 | $176.86 |
| 10-11 06:35 | Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | SELL | 0.1175 | $5.88 |
| 10-11 06:34 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | SELL | 0.1476 | $3.69 |
| 10-11 06:34 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.09 |
| 10-11 06:20 | Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | SELL | 0.23 | $26.84 |
| 10-11 06:19 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.7603748327 | $71.00 |
| 10-11 06:19 | Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | SELL | 0.989 | $32.60 |
| 10-11 06:19 | Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | SELL | 0.996 | $27.39 |