PolyBot

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Traders

pangdebu

0x261c1d89e871b488e2e96b8a2d3c5c1d759bf12e

Realised P&L
$-5.23
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$11.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9990.999$8.89−$0.00
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9580.979$1.33+$0.03
Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.645$1.31−$0.11
Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squire · Federico Agustin Gomez0.5000.000$0.00−$1.54
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Georgia vs. Alabama · Alabama0.4700.000$0.00−$3.00
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 11:06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$8.90
10-18 10:05Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6999998028$1.42
09-10 12:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$10.30
08-04 08:28Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?BUY0.999$10.30
08-04 08:25Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri SquireBUY0.5$1.54
07-23 06:03Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$11.90
05-31 08:26Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$134.00
05-12 11:19Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?BUY0.9989999935$134.00
04-26 09:21Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?BUY0.9989999935$133.99
04-21 02:58Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.999$134.99
04-16 02:00Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?BUY0.9979999982$134.89
04-09 09:26Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?BUY0.999$134.78
03-24 08:25Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?BUY0.999$130.56
03-19 08:41Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?BUY0.998$130.00
03-11 11:22Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?BUY0.996$1.40