PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x261244c3e8aCA499b11b076294502aaE128Bc31c-1774605124444

0x261244c3e8aca499b11b076294502aae128bc31c

Realised P&L
$123.81
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$28.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9100.984$5.40+$0.40
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16? · Yes0.9301.000$5.37+$0.37
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18? · Yes0.8900.890$5.00+$0.00
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 23? · Yes0.9100.780$4.29$0.71
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 24? · Yes0.9100.770$4.23$0.77
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 26? · Yes0.9200.775$4.21$0.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
09-16 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
09-16 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-16 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.99$5.00