0xTrex
0x25e78714bb780b1e1b04f42966d887ff343995e8
- Realised P&L
- $-681.47
- Volume
- $53.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,335
- Open portfolio
- $34.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,335
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.755 | $14.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.963 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.795 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $4.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.037 | $4.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| First Blood in Game 1? · Team Liquid | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? · Yes | 0.368 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Game 2: Any Player Rampage? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.43at 0.082Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$41.87at 0.913Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
- +$20.91at 0.331Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?
- +$20.02at 0.605Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$17.92at 0.462Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 01:43 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.5499999853 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 02:53 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? | BUY | 0.7599999919 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 06:52 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 06:51 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.449999991 | $15.00 |
| 10-24 04:30 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 10-24 04:29 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $15.00 |
| 08-31 03:57 | Will Solana dip to $80 in August? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 08-27 04:59 | Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 04:59 | Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5) | BUY | 0.74 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 04:15 | Will Solana dip to $80 in August? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 04:15 | Will Solana dip to $80 in August? | BUY | 0.0359999933 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 03:17 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? | BUY | 0.9889999426 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 03:17 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? | BUY | 0.0490719513 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 03:12 | Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? | BUY | 0.9589999992 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 03:12 | Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? | BUY | 0.148999979 | $5.00 |