PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x25d41aaac37cd0812649ba739197356362607915

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
0
Open portfolio
$579.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded0
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5120.963$240.75+$112.79
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.9311.000$90.00+$6.22
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June? · Yes0.0951.000$60.00+$54.30
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026? · Yes0.1211.000$60.00+$52.75
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.1440.786$51.12+$41.75
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1950.545$32.70+$21.03
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4810.215$12.90$15.97
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2700.195$11.70$4.50
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.0580.069$4.48+$0.69
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0700.011$2.87$14.58
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.0390.037$2.40$0.14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0440.008$2.00$9.09
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0700.006$1.62$15.98
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1010.006$1.62$23.52
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.1350.018$1.14$7.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.