PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ebonyshade

0x25c5fa93c66ebe4e3dd1bd9847e5a40077434666

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$24.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-57.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? · No0.7600.990$10.10+$2.34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? · Yes0.7600.989$10.10+$2.34
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.6000.925$4.63+$1.63
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5970.000$0.00−$6.00
Raptors vs. Nets · Raptors0.5900.000$0.00−$5.0k
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 07:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18?BUY0.76$7.76
10-18 07:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18?BUY0.76$7.76
07-14 09:42France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5975000598$6.00
07-14 09:40England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.4049999419$3.00
07-14 09:39England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.6874999816$7.00
06-17 07:13Will England win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.5699999871$15.88
06-17 07:12Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group CBUY0.7453124997$15.90
05-19 07:29Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5BUY0.7399999457$3.00
05-19 07:22Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
05-19 07:21Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.6$3.00
05-19 07:20Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?BUY0.8$4.20
03-26 11:58Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)BUY0.4505838041$2.39
03-10 14:39MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9929998406$2.00
03-10 14:38Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?BUY0.9659999251$4.00
03-10 14:38Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?BUY0.9879999974$3.00