Ebonyshade
0x25c5fa93c66ebe4e3dd1bd9847e5a40077434666
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $24.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-57.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? · No | 0.760 | 0.990 | $10.10 | +$2.34 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.989 | $10.10 | +$2.34 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No | 0.600 | 0.925 | $4.63 | +$1.63 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Raptors vs. Nets · Raptors | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.77at 0.577Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$5.31at 0.751Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C
- +$4.32at 0.417England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$3.07at 0.698England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
- +$2.92at 0.451Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 07:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.76 |
| 10-18 07:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.76 |
| 07-14 09:42 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975000598 | $6.00 |
| 07-14 09:40 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4049999419 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 09:39 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6874999816 | $7.00 |
| 06-17 07:13 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.5699999871 | $15.88 |
| 06-17 07:12 | Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C | BUY | 0.7453124997 | $15.90 |
| 05-19 07:29 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |
| 05-19 07:22 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 07:21 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 05-19 07:20 | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.20 |
| 03-26 11:58 | Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4505838041 | $2.39 |
| 03-10 14:39 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929998406 | $2.00 |
| 03-10 14:38 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9659999251 | $4.00 |
| 03-10 14:38 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10? | BUY | 0.9879999974 | $3.00 |