0x25c398b804dd4805cd734208283aec682dfc5adc
0x25c398b804dd4805cd734208283aec682dfc5adc
- Realised P&L
- $-0.86
- Volume
- $56.23
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $8.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.650 | 0.986 | $1.82 | +$0.62 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.941 | $1.76 | +$0.56 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.820 | $1.64 | +$0.62 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.925 | $1.61 | +$0.41 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.865 | $1.30 | +$0.10 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.410 | 0.030 | $0.09 | −$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.98at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$1.53at 0.440US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.50at 0.450Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.77at 0.610US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.45at 0.728Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:01 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 05:56 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 09-20 21:55 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999942 | $1.20 |
| 09-19 04:01 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.20 |
| 09-18 12:14 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 18? | BUY | 0.6099998373 | $1.20 |
| 09-18 09:42 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 19:52 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6499999458 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 11:45 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | BUY | 0.7899999012 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 03:36 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.20 |
| 09-14 06:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $1.20 |
| 09-13 22:48 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-11 21:09 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.20 |
| 09-11 06:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.2799999533 | $1.20 |
| 09-10 22:44 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7599998733 | $1.20 |
| 09-10 14:43 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.20 |