egrk
0x25b9abf665fe90d0539f2be826038dbb9baa2970
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $135.5k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.63at 0.429Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$348.27at 0.068Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$257.70at 0.137Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$256.43at 0.281Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$243.98at 0.480Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 19:24 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0132427404 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 16:03 | 1win FDV above $30M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9160062127 | $250.00 |
| 10-30 16:03 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.829078617 | $150.00 |
| 10-30 16:00 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.38 |
| 10-30 15:59 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 14:22 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 14:22 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.3861386123 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 14:21 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 15:07 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.679999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-27 15:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6439999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 14:50 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6059999996 | $400.00 |
| 09-23 05:38 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 05:37 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 18:34 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |