PolyBot

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Traders

egrk

0x25b9abf665fe90d0539f2be826038dbb9baa2970

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$135.5k
Markets traded
239
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded239
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6270.598$571.95−$28.05
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6300.875$277.78+$77.78
1win FDV above $30M one day after launch? · Yes0.9161.000$272.79+$22.79
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.705$207.35+$7.35
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.8291.000$180.83+$30.83
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.6800.715$105.15+$5.15
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.715$105.15+$5.15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8350.852$102.03+$2.03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0460.041$87.40−$12.60
1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? · Yes0.6401.000$78.09+$28.09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.6440.437$67.86−$32.14
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.115$63.89−$86.11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.7900.736$46.58−$3.42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.735$12.89+$2.89
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No0.8490.018$2.06−$97.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:24Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0132427404$10.00
10-30 16:031win FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.9160062127$250.00
10-30 16:031win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.829078617$150.00
10-30 16:00Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.08$1.38
10-30 15:59Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.08$10.00
10-30 14:22Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.7599999954$20.00
10-30 14:22Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.3861386123$10.00
10-30 14:211win FDV above $45M one day after launch?BUY0.64$50.00
10-27 15:07Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.679999999$200.00
10-27 15:02Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6439999981$100.00
09-28 14:50Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6059999996$400.00
09-23 05:38Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6799999981$100.00
09-23 05:37Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6799999981$100.00
09-20 18:34Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?BUY0.2$10.00
09-20 18:33Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.4$10.00