PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

egrk

0x25b9abf665fe90d0539f2be826038dbb9baa2970

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$136.8k
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6300.715$226.98+$26.98
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6730.702$208.47+$8.47
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.255$141.67$8.33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8350.847$101.43+$1.43
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0460.046$100.35+$0.35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3110.276$88.59$11.41
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.7900.910$57.59+$7.59
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes0.4270.355$41.60$8.40
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0240.025$20.24+$0.24
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0640.045$15.72$6.28
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.505$8.86$1.14
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.5800.350$6.03$3.97
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$100.00
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.4930.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 3? · No0.5600.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:16Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
07-19 19:15Will the announcers say "iShowSpeed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-19 19:15Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.4930295469$5.00
07-19 19:14Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.64$10.00
07-19 19:14Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.7799999548$10.00
07-18 22:52France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.97$960.70
07-18 22:32France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.5299999983$100.00
07-18 22:26France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.7889999971$200.00
07-18 22:14France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.9119999999$500.00
07-17 20:51Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.269999999$150.00
07-17 20:51Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6729999994$200.00
07-11 05:56Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1779999988$100.00
07-11 05:44Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.176$308.64
07-07 21:05Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.998$160.97
07-07 17:48Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0073003558$10.00