hydvhuhn
0x25a2f0684c0338eab6956359919a42516bd46cca
- Realised P&L
- $6.21
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $54.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.090 | $30.96 | −$58.98 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.085 | $23.50 | −$0.10 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.61 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.01at 0.438Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$15.15at 0.660Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$7.79at 0.280Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
- +$7.64at 0.720Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
- +$6.58at 0.603Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 12:45 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0092263009 | $5.00 |
| 04-20 10:13 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $10.22 |
| 04-13 11:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 04-12 22:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | SELL | 0.4327027027 | $16.01 |
| 04-12 22:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.39 |
| 04-09 21:06 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $19.92 |
| 04-07 22:28 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $44.65 |
| 04-01 23:04 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3066725969 | $30.00 |
| 04-01 22:32 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $81.82 |
| 03-21 09:03 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $66.67 |
| 03-21 07:46 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $32.64 |
| 03-21 07:36 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $14.43 |
| 03-14 04:52 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | BUY | 0.5699999804 | $9.91 |
| 03-13 12:34 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.00 |
| 03-13 12:34 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $25.00 |