0x2591b54fdb7ca4a744737e72416a7a8d64570f87
0x2591b54fdb7ca4a744737e72416a7a8d64570f87
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 288
- Open portfolio
- $22.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded288
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.480 | 0.550 | $10.31 | +$1.31 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.410 | 0.310 | $7.56 | −$2.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.710 | 0.805 | $4.54 | +$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.25at 0.605San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers
- +$85.60at 0.713Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$80.62at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$68.43at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$59.87at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.7099999769 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 13:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 13:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.00 |
| 10-03 11:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 11:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.3615909058 | $4.30 |
| 10-02 10:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |
| 08-21 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $2.77 |
| 08-21 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.649999935 | $3.00 |
| 08-21 03:12 | Solana Up or Down - August 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:10 | Solana Up or Down - August 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $5.37 |