PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RobbieSuperDegen

0x25757542c9c10bf8b0c9bf92394a8575b3d8e7e6

Realised P&L
$-562.27
Volume
$90.1k
Markets traded
356
Open portfolio
$31.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded356
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4000.249$24.95$15.05
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.049$4.85+$1.85
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0240.016$1.60$0.80
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 30? · Down0.4000.000$0.00$40.00
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 5? · Down0.3400.000$0.00$68.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 1? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.00
Will XRP dip to $2.00 in November? · No0.4000.000$0.00$80.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 24? · No0.1700.000$0.00$17.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? · Down0.3000.000$0.00$60.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 17? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$25.00
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · No0.1900.000$0.00$19.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 23? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$30.00
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 18? · Down0.2700.000$0.00$27.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 13? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00$44.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 07:59Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.024$2.40
07-31 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.14$14.00
04-17 23:03Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18276411$2.53
04-17 23:01MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?SELL0.034$3.40
04-17 23:01Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.1246844684$12.47
04-17 23:01Record crypto liquidation in 2026?SELL0.144656$14.47
04-17 23:01US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.24$24.00
04-17 23:01Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.599986$60.00
04-17 22:59Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? SELL0.66$140.57
04-17 22:58Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.693450345$138.68
02-18 05:04Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?SELL0.999$99.90
01-27 22:39Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$240.00
01-23 04:20Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 23?BUY0.49$49.00
01-21 21:21Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$5.34
01-12 03:30S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?BUY0.25$31.25