Hopefully
0x255731519f083dd69e2b45cba2601bada356c07c
- Realised P&L
- $-521.65
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $28.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.750 | 1.000 | $8.00 | +$2.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.880 | 1.000 | $7.95 | +$0.95 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.160 | $6.51 | −$3.49 |
| Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.795 | $5.76 | +$0.76 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.49 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Galatasaray end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.426 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.50at 0.801Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?
- +$40.83at 0.900Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?
- +$29.39at 0.760Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
- +$11.99at 0.380No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
- +$10.73at 0.330Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 11:09 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.8799999899 | $7.00 |
| 06-24 11:09 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 06-24 11:08 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 06-24 11:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.2299999603 | $4.00 |
| 06-24 11:06 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 10:22 | Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9899999599 | $20.00 |
| 03-18 10:22 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2449999847 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:08 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Galatasaray end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 18:07 | Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 18:07 | Padres vs. Mets | BUY | 0.7599998541 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 18:07 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.9669999594 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:06 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.8699999678 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:06 | Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 18:06 | Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.4265449742 | $20.00 |
| 12-30 21:42 | Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31? | BUY | 0.0899999783 | $3.49 |