Mikele
0x255228f222cff4dd60acfaf391941b59770d73d2
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $129.2k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $418.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$285.00at 0.154Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$156.00at 0.220Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
- +$67.10at 0.430Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
- +$0.00at 0.160Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$-7.20at 0.976Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 17:37 | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | BUY | 0.0792283219 | $52.79 |
| 06-09 19:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $342.00 |
| 06-06 08:01 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.0383605934 | $12.00 |
| 06-06 07:54 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.30 |
| 05-19 19:52 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.0371789976 | $15.58 |
| 05-18 18:37 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.379775 | $303.82 |
| 05-06 11:43 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $8.40 |
| 05-05 14:36 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $69.88 |
| 05-04 10:13 | Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.0960106097 | $24.98 |
| 04-29 10:44 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $13.17 |
| 04-27 10:16 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $87.00 |
| 04-27 10:09 | Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.1581194286 | $103.23 |
| 04-27 10:06 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.057 | $85.50 |
| 04-27 09:59 | Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.1286252577 | $46.43 |
| 04-27 09:58 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.057 | $57.00 |